As of 2025, global proven oil reserves are estimated at approximately 1.65 trillion barrels...

my understanding of "proven oil reserves" is deposits which are currently economically feasible to extract
as we approach your date, and scarcity increases, we'll find without question that the "proven oil reserves" figure rises to meet the economic conditions of the future
the *actual* amount of crude in the ground (i.e., including probable, possible, and speculative reserves) could be some ten-to-fifteen times greater than the current "proven" (read: currently economically viable to extract) reserves
at the current rate of global consumption, you state 47 years, multiply the reserve by 10 as we delve deeper to get at the more difficult deposits, you're looking at closer to 470 years

saying "these are the last trillion barrels on the planet, only 50 years of them left" keeps the cost high

I'd smash.

All will bow to the Québécois Hydroelectric infrastructure like the Western World bows to the Saudis atm

Oil is abiotic
You killed a thread for this.

Everyone laugh at the retard.

Alot less plastic, alot more expensive, food will spoil more easily, no one will be truly prepared, not even the "preppers". Corn oil will be used for some things, synthetics oils can replace some things, but since the cost of production of everything will be higher, you'll barely be able to produce anything at mass scale at profit. Because it isn't just fuel oils, it's lubricants, shipping of parts and food, synthetic refridgerants, anything made of plastic, which is alot of things. Modern lifestyles will slowly start grinding to a halt as oil prices go up.

would inbred shitskins who own a desert be rich in a world where farming is the source of fuel

And that's a good thing because if the cost was what it actually should be, it would be used with reckless abandon, shortening the possible life of industry from maybe a century or so down to a little over a single generation. Maybe more, but in the grand scheme of human society, that's literally less than peanuts. That's like if you cracked open the peanut and started chopping up a single side into smaller bits of peanuts.

Uh....its literally just a geological byproduct from the constant heat and pressure fluctuations. Its rocks, not fucking trees. Retard.

Its organic based You think coal is a fucking rock?
geology.com/articles/coal-through-a-microscope.shtml

Actually it's mostly the high compression of bacteria, algae, moss. It does replenish, but not nearly fast enough. And if you think city buildings will decompose into oil in a few million years you're wrong, because the energy in their chemical bonds is not nearly the same.
Of course is also wrong because it's a slow process and we use alot.

You believe that stuff, what a dizzy faggot

Oil is abiotic and continually created via natural magmatic processes within the earth primarily from alkylhalides.
Methodology;
CH3Cl + Zn / HCl CH4 ( Methane )
Zn +2HCl ZnCl2 + 2[ H]
CH3Cl + n-Bu3SnH / AIBN CH4.
CH3Cl + 2Na + ClCH3 CH3-CH3 + 2 NaCl

RCOONa + NaOH (+CaO) R-H + Na2CO3.
CH3MgCl + H2O CH4 + Mg(OH)Cl.

RMgX + H2O R-H + Mg(OH)X.
• From Carbonyl compounds :
RCHO + Zn( Hg) / Conc.HCl R-CH3

R—(C=O)-R + Zn(Hg)/ Conc.HCl R-CH2-R.

RCHO + NH2-NH2 / KOH / C2H5OH RCH3.

R-(C=O)-R + NH2–NH2/KOH / C2H5OH R-CH2-R.

• 2CH3COONa + 2H2O / CH3–CH3 + 2CO2 + 2NaOH + H2.

2RCOONa +2H2O / R-R + 2CO2 + 2NaOH + H2.

That's based on deposits we're currently allowed to exploit, which is a small fraction of what we know of. The stuff is bubbling up out of the ground and being wasted in places we use to be able to drill but no longer can. This is to keep the price of oil from crashing and why the oil companies themselves are single handedly bankrolling the green movement. They have to in order to protect their monopoly.

If they lifted moratoriums and allowed anyone to have contracts who wanted them, they'd be destroyed overnight by all the small extraction contracting companies that pop up doing the job cheaper and faster.

You're describing coal dumbass.

Proven reserves means deposits we measured the amounts of. There are c3, d1 and d2 deposits that we found, but amounts aren't certain yet. And there are simply ones that weren't found
Also I am not certain about the 1.65 trillion number. Is that total amount or just the amount that can be extracted? Because if it's later, technology doesn't stand in place and we can extract more and more oil

But it will run out eventually

Yeah, it will. While I am partial to abiotic oil theory, migration is a pretty slow process

So what happens then?

Some countries get fucked over, othera get rich. Less plastics used. But the civilization doesn't end there. Bronze age didn't end because we ran out of copper and tin. We get more nuclear and orbital solar power

Whole countries will die, population collapse and retreat to tribalism, but more classy due to technology.

Technology that will fail and become useless within a generation. I don't think you understand how utterly dependent EVERYTHING is on Petro chemicals.

Go back to plebbit, and don't ever come back here.

I can tell you that computers and computer production and large datacenters need petrols.

How will the world look like when we run out of oil, geopolitically speaking?

Islam will stop being a thing because the oil merchants will no longer have the wealth to bribe politicians into importing arabs into democracies.

By that point though, most of Europe will already be muslim so probably the same old shit.

The Amish will rule
Side note, do you guys have an Amish equivalent over there? Or is this just an American phenomenon? I feel like it doesn't get talked about enough that there are some 400k Americans living in a cult where they pretend it's still the 1800s

Lmao you fucking propagandized retard

It can be replaced completely with bio fuels. Not that it will ever need to be, but it can be. Artificial scarcity propoganda to keep dumb people paying more and more. Hurr durr, is gonna be gone soon, I pays more. Better finance 80k EV, I'm smarts.

The system is rather elegant.
You are locked onto a planet around a star/binary stars
Life arises on your world.
Your people get X amount of natural resources in with which to use to join forces/dominate and build a way off the world to inherit the trillions upon trillions of stars waiting out there.
Or you use up the resources on wasteful goyslop like a Jezz Bezos 500 million dollar floating boomer B-B-Q and trash from TEMU, or destroy the planet using the resources for warfare so gangsters can get richer.

Its a simple litmus test
Can you evolve high enough to cooperate and inherit trillions of stars?
Or is your species a nigger species unworthy of envisioning consuming breakfast on another planet, solely mindful over the squabble for a single bowl of cereal you are eating in the moment.

I feel like it doesn't get talked about enough that Amish wives are always extremely beautiful.

We'll just nuke the US. There, the oil will now last 300 years. We can then have some time to figure out an alternative.

read a book kike

We have long since hit the great filter.
Its empathy.
Humanity dies on this rock.

Literal flat earthers.

Funnily enough the known oil and coal reserves have stood at "50 more years of consumption" for the last 100 years, because new reserves keep getting found.

When the new Swedes find the wifi password

proven

oil

reserves

That is implying that countries and companies are not playing it close to the chest to prevent a massive price decrease in fuel

Oil and natural gas have been found on planets incapable of supporting life. Complex, aromatic hydrocarbons have been found in asteroids and even in random space dust. It is observably a substance that occurs naturally all over the universe.
Your idea that these substances are actually made by magical tiny creatures that eat ancient dinosaurs and poo oil is a ludicrous fairy tale.

Thorium

literally this. In the US there is 500+ years of thorium nuclear fuel present in the coal deposits, which after extraction could be used to make synthetic oils and fuels. But our idiot politicians would rather do fracking and "green" bullshit that wrecks the environment. There's also probably a lot of oil and minerals in the arctic that's why competition is heating up for it.

Nah
Lots of technology can be brute forced. If resources do start running out then you are forced to start space exploration, overbuilding everything and launching several times more rockets due to shittier materials

I see your flag is British, and by that, I am assuming that I am conversing with a brown skinned individual who most likely has some form of inbred in their blood. Ideally, considering the Anglo Saxon island people are indeed, inbred, you will find a fine life among them.

That being said, you brown people will never inherit the stars with the hubris that you carry. You cannot even comprehend basic, simple sciences.
In the name of Alhazen help this brown person please.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ibn_al-Haytham

How will the world look like when we run out of oil, geopolitically speaking?

We would be back to burning coal.
Synthetic gas from coal.
Eletric trains powered by coal powerplant.
Steam turbine coal powered ships with jeets fireman crews.

According to the U.S. Geological Survey in 2009, the U.S. proven thorium reserves are approximately 440,000 tons, enough to last for hundreds of years at full-scale LFTR implementation. And it is estimated that the worldwide proven reserves are 1.3 million tons, excluding China. LFTRs use only one ton of thorium per year for a 1000 MW plant and it is the only fuel added during continuous operation

pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/es2021318

I have a bridge in New York you might be interested in buying.

No actually oil is just the blood of Cthulhu and we've been slowly bleeding him to death before he could ever wake up.it's got to be true I read it on the internet.

Who told you this fairy tale?

retarded nigger never heard of the Fischer Tropsch process

many such cases

you're forgetting that the rate of consumption is increasing and the rate of increase is increasing, we'll begin having massive world wide shortages around 2050
count on it

We have 200 years of current consumption planetary Uranium it is estimated. Enough to make a last desperate attempt to reach the moon/mars/asteroid belt.

scientificamerican.com/article/how-long-will-global-uranium-deposits-last/

The moon has an element known as Hydrogen 3 (tritium, the glow in the dark stuff they use for firearm night sights, watches, dials) on it which could be used as an energy source, it is close by.

At some point we have to detach from capital and capitalism.
Fat lazy rich boomers are sending Katy Perry and roasties up into orbit as shekel tourists to promote third wave feminism, vagina crystals and astrology.

I thought you loved brown people. You don't hate brown people do you? You aren't a racist bigot, are you?
You should listen to people of colour. You might learn something.

And tell me retard what planet have we been to? oh wait we haven't been to any of them I guess we don't know if there's oil there.
We have barely put a drone on Mars and this retard's already talking about oil on other planets as if we're already colonizing other planets, this motherfucker's dumb as fuck but I guess it must be tiring to think that the world might end one day so making a bullshit stories where everything lasts forever and ever must be an easier way to live just like Jesus Freaks oh this is the way God wanted it there's nothing we could do anyway so it's not our fault.

we shouldn't be consuming uranium at the rate we are. Uranium reactors are retarded except for weapons production. See my posts about Thorium

Ever wondered why the oil price isn’t rising despite all these claims about muh peak oil? Despite all of these conflicts and massive inflation. The reason is simple oil is abiotic and abundant in many places.

tritium, the glow in the dark stuff they use for firearm night sights, watches, dials

Tritium is a gas and doesn't do any of that you colossal spastic. Truly an embarrassing mistake.

It's actually ground up dinosuars

200 years of current consumption planetary Uranium it is estimated

Just swap to thorium, literally non-issue

Ever wondered why the oil price isn’t rising despite all these claims about muh peak oil? Despite all of these conflicts and massive inflation. The reason is simple oil is abiotic and abundant in many places.

the reason is simple but it's not that. It's that a certain price US fracking comes online. But the fracking plays are just about played out

You
Are
Brown

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tritium

We literally landed a drone on Titan. That's how we know what's there.
We've literally landed drones on comets. That's how we know what's there.
You call people flat Earthers yet you seem to be convinced space isn't real.
You are ignoring observable reality because you find it difficult to accept that the books you read as a kid might not have been true. There's no such thing as the miniature dinosaur goblins who wee oil and poo coal.

You so know not all oil is just below rhe crust, right?

with spectroscopy you dont even have to send a probe, you can measure it from a distance and figure out what shit is made out of.

You know you don't need to land on a planet to know the composition of its atmosphere or what the lakes and ice on its surface are made of, right?

You're a racist and you're wrong. Tritium is not "glow in the dark stuff." It's a colourless gas. The phosphors glow in the dark, tritium compounds are just a source of radiation that is slightly less dangerous than the uranium they used to use (which gave people cancer). At least read the wikipedia article you're trying to use to prove your point.

You're a retard.

fine, because i have 2 turbines and 3 solar panels that more than meet my needs. there's such a thing as electric cars and nuclear / hydro power. countries like norway are already practically entirely battery operated. the main change is that it'll be cleaner.

These posters are delusional. The oil WILL run out and billions WILL die because of it. The only solution is to create a White ethnoplanet by sterilizing all non-Whites.

Post resume

this is why I dislike brown people so much

Doctorate; Chemical Engineering.

3 solar panels

which panels are you using, lad? thinking of putting a couple on my garage roof, not sure how well they'd do up norf but panel efficiencies seem to be getting better

thinking of putting a couple on my garage roof

Please see the post preceding yours.
DO NOT DO THIS.
Solar panels contain R.E.E.'s derived from monazite. Solar panels shed radiation as they decrepitate. You will die of cancer.

If push comes to shove we can reach the stars even without it.
Just brute force it. Build big dumb boosters mostly out of carbon steel, ceramics like SiC and sparing using other, better metals where there is no alternative. Launch ten rockets for payload one falcon 9 could lift. Once in orbit build ships that are just a tin can with radiators and shitty thruster. Get a moonbase to ease the load on launching and start in situ refining of structural metals. Solar sails and solar moths for long distance journeys. Asteroid belt and mercury for metals.
You can probably do it fairly low tech. I honestly think space civilization is doable with ww2 era tech at the latest
Meanwhile use renewables and biofuel for power. Yes, they suck, but we are assuming hydrocarbons, coal and actinides ran out
Some writefaggotry about space civilization with low tech and resources might be cool

Space tourism

Unironically a good thing. Space industry is self perpetuating, but it needs something to kick it off

Reserves are not deposits. We have synthetic oils. We can still find more in uninhabited places. We have alternative fuels and we can use coal for electric cars.

Really? OK maybe, but has a pumped out oil field ever refilled and been pumped again? Of course not. Meaning, whether its biotic or abiotic we are using it faster than it can be replenished and therefor a finite resources. I'm sure we'll find more in new spots but even if it is abiotic and made continuously its not happening fast enough.

Plants, mostly peat bogs did contribute some to oil fields but most of it was from decomposed phytoplankton in the oceans.

For the approximately 1/2 of the year when it's not frozen solid?

47 years

we`re all dead in under 5 anyways so your point is mute

That’s a common narrative, but it ain’t so. Quite a bit of the fracking goes offline once the prices dips under 100 to 90 dollars. The western countries are increasingly irrelevant, since most of the growth in the last 30 and especially last 20 years happened elsewhere and there the oil demand happens to be. Fracking is barley relevant in the grande scheme of things, beyond the Us trade deficit. In fact OPEC is barely at 80 of real capacity.

It'll be like the 1800's but with electronic gizmos and computers.

Most people are in denial because they don't want to face facts but if oil is infinite as retards believe then electric cars and by extension Elon Musk wouldn't be a thing. But most world governments can see the writing on the walls.

As for what the effect will be, who can say really 47 years is a long time. But I've got a bunch that there are going to be bigger problems to worry about long before then that we also aren't addressing.

Anyway don't expect any intelligent discourse from the average Anon Babbleack most of these idiots barely have a high-school education and believe any wild fantasy about infinite oil they come across despite oil companies themselves admitting there is only a finite amount that can be extracted. That's why we have things like fraking and oil sands mines. Because most of the easy to get to oil has already been scooped up and now we are beginning to scrap the bottom of the proverbial barrel for even the low quality oil.